WHat happened?
Assuming the remaining vote is largely urban mail-ins, which it certainly is, those percentages are very doable. Also, I’m a bit suspicious of the accuracy of the “remaining” vote counts. Not exactly sure how this is calculated and pushed to the networks. There’s a reason these states have been telling us this may not be done before Friday…if it really is just a few hundred thousand votes left to count, that wouldn’t make a lot of sense.
I thought Locrian was reacting to the numbers posted above, but I could be wrong.
This assumes we get WI and MI…we’re farther behind right now than anyone expected. Hopefully there’s a mountain of uncounted mail-in votes.
Biden just went into the lead in Wisconsin
This could be pretty major. Decision Desk HQ has apparently gotten its hands on the Milwaukee City absentees and now has Biden 20,000 votes ahead in Wisconsin.
CNN has Biden at 220 EV’s.
Predicted for Biden:
Hawaii - 4 EV’s.
Arizona -11 EV’s.
Nevada - 6 EV’s.
Maine - 4 EV’s.
So Biden should pick up 25 more and total out at 245 EV’s.
Trump 293 - Biden 245. Biden has to pick off 2 states where Trump’s winning.
Biden is now ~20k votes up in WI. Cautiously less pessimistic.
Not really, I only picked NC out of the numbers quoted. I bet that WI, MI, PA, NV go red. PA will be red. On Friday.
AP is showing Biden up in WI by only about 9,000 votes, with 95% counted. But still - up is up.
Still a lot of votes from red counties out there. But they are mail in votes from cities within those counties…so maybe they’ll be no worse than a 50-50 split. Fucking close.
AP has had Biden at 238.
Of the uncalled EVs, Biden has a good shot at picking up GA (16), Maine 2nd (1), NV (6), WI (10) - this adds up to 271, enough to win.
Also still uncalled are MI (16), NC (15), PA (20), AK (3)
The CNN wall Dude is freaking. Each county he touches is like 62% Trump in Wisconsin.
. But Biden’s ahead by about 10,000 votes! Kenosha county/city is about 60% Dotard, 38% Biden/Harris. Surprise, surprise.
How much of a jump did Biden get in Wisconsin? Did an entire county submit their vote all at once, or what exactly happened there?
Yes, all of Milwaukee’s mail-in votes dropped in.
Was 145k additional Biden votes.
So, good morning, America! I read that you are about to screw up again. Not the thing I wanted to hear first thing in the morning. Hope you build the wall this time around: you are too dangerous to be let out roaming free. Keep away, you are turning toxic.
BTW…I cannot fucking believe Susan Collins looks to be keeping her seat. Just jaw dropping if it holds.
Kenosha County, WI should add a net of about +12k to the Biden side when they are finished counting, based on eyeballing what is still out, likely turnout rate, and 2016 results.
NYT still shows Milwaukee at just 90% of votes counted…that would be another 55k total votes if accurate.
The difference between AP and earlier CNN is Hawaii, Maine, and Arizona which are all for Biden. Except it looks like one EV in Maine is up for grabs.
Biden’s also made gains in Michigan according to CNN, but still needs to pick up 62% of the remaining votes.
Assuming all mail-in, very probable.