I am one week away from winning my sruvivor pool. It’s down to me and one other guy, and I have the advantage, in that if we both win or lose next week, I win. Unfortunately at this point I’ve used most of the good teams in the league. Here is what I have left:
Arizona
Atlanta
Buffalo
Cleveland
Detroit
Houston
Jacksonville
Miami
Minnesota
New York G
New york J
Oakland
Philadelphia
Pittsburgh
Tampa Bay
Washington
I am thinking of picking the steelers over the Browns, but not completely sold.
Other possibilities include Dolphins over Jets (But Miami was miserable yesterday, and Tannehill was hurt.)
Titans over Texans (But Tenn just isn’t that good, Houston might come back for a victory to make their season less miserable. Also, Tenn gave me my one strike when they got beat by the Jaguars.)
Lions over Vikings
Giants over Redskins. (Redskins almost beat Cowboys. Cousins seems to be brining fresh life to the franchise)
Philly over Dallas (Dallas not horrible)
So what do you think. If you had to pick one of these as the closest to a sure thing what would it be? I know a lot of you know a lot more about football than I do, which is why I rarely post to the NFL threads, but I do read them. Thanks!
List of current Vegas lines for Week 17. Yeah, yeah; not an actual prediction of how the game will go, just trying to even up the money on both sides of the wager, but still.
From your list, it looks like Pittsburgh -7 (started at -6), Tennessee -7 (ditto, and the Texans are something ridiculous like 2-13 against the spread this year.), and Miami -6.5 are the ones to choose from.
Me? I’d lean to Pittsburgh. Especially if the game’s at Heinz. I know that divisional games can get wonky, but that’s who I’d pick.
It’s possible, but unlikely. The two teams he has that I can’t pick are Chicago and San Diego, and both those games are pretty tough. Still it would be a disaster (for him) if we both pick the same team, since then I automatically win. So he will probably think about it. As you almost certainly already know, we can’t see who the other guy picked until it’s too late to change.
If it was a real tie, then we would just tie, but that’s impossible at this point.
ETA: He has two strikes, I have one. If we both lose we are both out, but I win because of fewer strikes. (After week fourteen there are no more strikes, you lose, you’re out.) If we both win, I win the pool on strikes. If I lose and he wins, I’m out, he is sole survivor. If I win and he loses, I am sole survivor.
That definitely suggests going with Philly, but unfortunately for you the Cowboys have maybe the best backup QB in the league, assuming he hasn’t atrophied on the bench. So, still not a slam dunk.
The Steelers are still playing for their faint playoff hopes and have been a better team this latter part of the season than they were in the first half, so I’d go with them over the Browns. Although as noted, divisional games are wonky and the Browns seem to win games they shouldn’t late in meaningless seasons that hurt their draft slot, so I don’t know.
Arizona just beat Seattle in Seattle and they still have a chance at a playoff spot if Tampa Bay beats New Orleans. That game will be going on at the same time. I’d pick Arizona to beat San Francisco, it’s a Cards home game. Unless New Orleans completely blows Tampa out early, the Cards will be playing starters down to the last play.
Good point. Year in and year out it seems that the NFC East is hardest to pick winners. Favorites often get beat. I think the Giants are going to send Coughlin out with a win.
