Iowa is projected to be something like his 4th best state. NH is second, though. Once those are over, it’s going to be all Clinton.
ETA: Iowa is third. Here’s the cite: What Happens If Bernie Sanders Wins Iowa | FiveThirtyEight
Iowa is projected to be something like his 4th best state. NH is second, though. Once those are over, it’s going to be all Clinton.
ETA: Iowa is third. Here’s the cite: What Happens If Bernie Sanders Wins Iowa | FiveThirtyEight
Joe Trippi saying that outstanding votes are strong Hillary. Sanders preceints are all in.
Go Jeb!
Go Jeb!
Go Jeb!
As in “away”.
Pure speculation, but I doubt Sanders does as well in other states because a reasonable % of Iowa’s democratic primary voters are college kids and liberals. In southern states where a larger % are non-whites I don’t think Sanders will do as well.
However he will do well in NH because that state borders VT.
Hang on - is your media the same as my media? Because - and I say this as someone who agrees with Sanders’ positions - the mainstream media seems desperate to stir things up by giving Hillary a competitor. Sure, the NYT endorsed her, etc, but (especially early on, when he was in the single digits) the media played a key role in getting Sanders’ name out there.
And Iowa is really, really white, which means far greater Sanders support than in most states. NH is the same. It’s weird that the states that set the media’s tone are so unrepresentative of the US. (Then again, I’ve heard that Sanders doesn’t have as much name recognition among non-whites, which is why the exposure associated with winning Iowa and NH could benefit him.)
I noticed that as well. He gets on a good roll and then flubs up the key word to hammer home his point. I do the same damn thing. I hope there is a cure for it.
Yeah–he always sounds like a mechanical pre-recorded message.
I’m an independent. But Rubio is a good candidate.
From 538’s blog:
Not to gloat, but something I have been beating on for quite a while now …
How is this happening? The results I’m looking at show Sanders up by 2 delegates, yet behind in votes.
MSNBC is just saying there are still precincts out in the counties where Drake U and the U of Northern Iowa are located. If that is correct then Trippi is mistaken.
Uh oh, Bernie has slipped a tenth of a point and one delegate.
If you consider a closet case who has never had an original political position in his life that wasn’t drilled into his head by the Koch Brothers or Sheldon Adelson and whose sole distinguishing factor for the GOP is that he has sufficiently dark skin a “good” candidate, sure.
Aren’t the delegates proportionate to the votes you get in a particular caucus? So if Hilary wins a lot of caucuses by 51 %, but Sanders wins some by 60%, he might end up with more delegates?
I thought he just bought the farm there today?
He’ll still take NH and SC. The issue is if he can maintain his bluster into Super Tuesday and who is left on stage with him.
No, the caucuses are exactly where Bernie should do well. And he has. But in a real election?
and the caucuses skew old.
To be honest, I’ve never seen an “independent” who wasn’t Republican-leaning.
Maybe he was right. Right now:
Clinton - 50.2
Sanders - 49.3
Both with 21 delegates
It looks like a bad night for Trump, a good night for Cruz and a great night for Rubio who now has every chance of “clearing the establishment” lane quickly after NH. I think he wins a three-way race with Trump and Cruz and I also think he beats Hillary in November.
On the Democratic side a narrow win for Hillary suits her fine if that’s what happens. She has overwhelming advantage after NH and should win comfortably in the end. I think the e-mail issue will seriously damage her in the general though.