I’m listening to Ash; she’s got the hookup. My opinions:
Nanook is a good candidate too. After I run a couple errands today, I’m going to post my Nanook case. Good or bad.
Of those you’ve mentioned, I’d go with Hal. He finally voted, only yesterDay, and when he did, it was for Ash. That’s completely fishy. As the Pool O’ Scum ™ is shrinking, I’m betting the scum start getting awfully quiet, and Hal is caught in the crosshairs on this one. He said he’d start posting more last week, but by then, it was getting risky to do so.
amrussell is posting a lot, and it’s mostly decent analysis. I don’t see anything particularly scummy. I’ve got to think about this one.
MHaye has some bad stuff going for him. Posting infrequently, voting last-minute, etc. I don’t know that his “Alpha Redshirt” guess on Hal was PI, though. If the scum know who is Alpha and who is Beta, they also know who the power roles are, as none appear to have A/B identities so far. That’s waaaaay unfair. Then again, what do I know? A scum investigator is possible, but why investigate Hal? The paranoid version, if I’m right about Hal: Hal could simply be lying in order to make MHaye look bad. “Haha, he’s RIGHT! Must be scum!!”
JSexton is a mixed bag. He went after Blaster pretty hard, and he hasn’t been bandwagoning other than that. His other vote that stuck was for Pleonast, early on Day 1, and that doesn’t tell me anything. Seems to be posting a fair amount, though.
Just my 2 cents, as a non-confirmed townie.