As others have said, Day 1 (especially early Day 1) is a dart throw. Logic would require data we don’t have yet, and may come to play in future Days, but not this one. There are many fine players whose method of play is to attack and see how the person reacts to the attack. This information may be helpful but is seldom conclusive. I suck at this method, myself, and usually go with light fluff on the first Day and see who gets really upset at it.
THIS game, however, has 54 players at the moment, and there is simply no room for that much fluff, especially since we have another week to go in Day 1. Which is why I won’t be posting as often as I usually do. (I also favor Lynch the Lurker, but that shouldn’t come into play until very late in the Day.)
Attacking others does often produce some targets for voting. This creates a voting history which is relevant in future Days. (In fact, IMHO, voting history is probably the best source of data to make decision.) Expect more attacks. Prepare to be attacked. Watch how people react. If you feel like it, attack someone yourself.