I keep forgetting to start these - I keep expecting someone else to.
Bodog lines. Home team capitalized. Favorites, spread, dog, over/under.
Cincinatti 3 KC 43
Cinci’s had a bye to try to at least try to plug some leaks on defense, KC isn’t as good as the flashes they’ve shown. Cinci, over.
JAX -7 Hou 37
Jacksonville is too inconsistent for me to want to take that line. Should be a low scorer. Houston, under.
CLEVELAND -4.5 Miami 45
It’s not often Cleveland is expected to win. It’s also not often that they can beat a team they’re supposed to. Still, the Cleveland offense is averaging over 25 points a game over the last 4 against better defenses than Miami, while Miami is mostly a train wreck. The over-under is tough. There won’t be a lot of defense played this game, but there will be a lot of rushing to run the clock and keep the scoring now…still… over.
CHICAGO -4.5 Minnesota 37
Chicago starts to rebound a little against an offense weak enough that they can dominate. Chicago, under.
Philadelphia 3.5 NYJ 42.5
Depends on which McNabb shows up. I think it’s going to be closer to the Detroit McNabb than the Giants McNabb, and NYJ can be exploited through the air. Philly, over.
BALTIMORE 10 St. Louis 37
Baltimore is easily the most overrated team in the NFL and doesn’t deserve to be a 10 point favorite over anyone. They’ve gotten 3 squeaker wins against bad teams who were all playing their backup quarterback, and they’ve lost to 2 teams that most media “power rankings” put 15+ places below them. And yet everyone in the media still desperately wants to orally please Stabbin’ Ray Ray. St. Louis, over (barely).
TAMPA BAY 3 Tennessee 37.5
Even game on a neutral field, this one is hard to call. Tennessee is 9-2 since midseason last year, but Tampa probably has the athletes on defense to stop Vince Young. TB, under.
GREEN BAY 3 Washington 40.5
Another tricky one. Washington dominated the pass-first offense of the Lions and Green Bay isn’t a very balanced offense. Washington, over.
ARIZONA 4.5 Carolina 40.5
Carolina really should be doing better than they are, but they aren’t. Arizona is learning to be a tough team. I don’t like either team with this spread, but I’ll go with Arizona, over.
New England 6.5 DALLAS 53
Dallas is overrated having played a pretty weak schedule. New England is dismantling people, and the scandal seems to have been suspiciously forgotten by the NFL and media. The power of the AFC destroys the power of the NFC. (I almost said “the class of the AFC”, but we’re talking about New England here). It won’t be quite the shootout that everyone is expecting. Under.
SAN DIEGO 10 Oakland 44
San Diego appears to be back to their old ways, but I want to see two good weeks before I start picking them as 10 point favorites. Oakland has been decent in all phases of the game. Oakland, under.
SEATTLE 7 New Orleans 43
Seattle is somewhat overrated playing in the weak NFC west. We saw what happens to them when they play a legitimately good (spit) team. However, New Orleans isn’t legitimately good. But I expect them to bounce back somewhat and hang in there, and 7 is a decent few points. New Orleans, over.
Edit: In a semi-related note, I’m considering running a yardage pool on the SDMB. I already run about 800 football related threads on the SDMB, so what’s one more? You’d pick the players you thought would get the most passing yards, rushing yards, and receiving yards, and then the actual amount of yards they get would be added to your score. It would all be run in the thread. Would anyone be interested in that sort of thing?
