Oak's Bowl Pick'em

New Year’s Eve was a horrible day for me. New Year’s Day was MUCH better. Kinda made me think back to when Ohio St.'s president was bashing TCU by saying how much harder it is to play in conferences such as the Big Ten and the SEC, and think “Hold on. Where do you get off acting like the Big10 and the SEC are on the same level?”

Well, apparently they all pinkie-sweared to come back next year. What are the odds-makers saying about that?

pfffffft, The Swami sucks at predictions. 445 is the best possible at this point with 7 games to play.

10th place. with a possible 375. Made a comeback yesterday with the Big 10 sucking eggs yesterday, although I did pick Wisconsin to beat TCU.

Someone picked UConn with 35 confidence points?? :smack:

I predict that my possible 375 won’t happen. And I picked Wisconsin, too, based on the hype on how dominant their O line was. It takes more to win games apparently and I was as thrilled with TCU’s win as I was with any SEC win that day. I must say second place in the thrills zone was the drubbing that the state of Michigan took.

For a neat comparison by conference, see 2010–11 NCAA football bowl games - Wikipedia and Bowl Challenge Cup - Wikipedia

If anybody knows where the “official” ESPN standings for this Cup are posted, please link to that. Right now it appears that Sun Belt and Mountain West are in the lead.

Every year, I create my own bowl scorecard (I’ve mentioned it here before), where I weight each game based on the participant’s standings in their respective conferences. You get positive points for winning, negative for losing, and more points for beating a conference champ than you do for beating the #6 team, naturally.

Currently, I’ve got the ACC (4-3) and MWC (4-1) tied for the lead. The MWC got little credit from me for beating UTEP and Georgia Tech, while the ACC got big points for beating South Carolina and West Virginia.

SEC is in 3rd…Big 10, unsurprisingly, is in dead last.

As a Ga Tech alumnus, I think I should be insulted. But I think embarrassment is the better adjective. Glad to see the ACC doing well.

Nothing personal…nobody gets credit for beating the 7th place team in any conference. :slight_smile:

Did I win yet?

Not so fast my friend! I still have 77 points to collect!

That beats my 111, but we won’t both collect, I wager.

That was actually a bump with a little barb to get lour attention. Succeeded I would say.

I almost bumped it myself with some links and “analysis” for what’s left.

Bowl Championship Series

Bowl Challenge Cup

BCS National Championship Game

2010-11 NCAA football bowl games

College Bowls 2010-11

Bowl Challenge Cup Standings

========================================================================

Jan. 7 AT&T Cotton Bowl Cowboys Stadium
Arlington, TX
8:00 pm Fox
#11 LSU vs. #17 Texas A&M
SEC vs. Big 12

Jan. 8 BBVA Compass Bowl Legion Field
Birmingham, AL
12:00 pm ESPN
Pittsburgh vs. Kentucky
Big East vs. SEC

Jan. 9 Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl AT&T Park
San Francisco, CA
9:00 pm ESPN
#15 Nevada vs. Boston College
WAC vs. ACC

Jan. 10 Tostitos BCS National Championship Game University of Phoenix Stadium
Glendale, AZ
8:30 pm ESPN
#2 Oregon vs. #1 Auburn
Pac-10 vs. SEC



Conference Bowl Records 

Conference  Bowl Teams  Record  %    Teams       Games       Potential  Potential
                                    in AP Poll  Remaining     Record       %

Mountain West  5         4-1  0.800    2           0   

Pac-10         4         2-1  0.667    2           1            3-1       0.750

Sun Belt       3         2-1  0.667    0           0  
 
Independents   3         2-1  0.667    0           0

Big East       6         3-2  0.600    2           1            4-2       0.667
 
SEC           10         3-4  0.429    6           3            6-4       0.600
 
ACC            9         4-4  0.500    2           1            5-4       0.556

MAC            4         2-2  0.500    0           0  
 
Big 12         8         3-4  0.429    5           1            4-4       0.500

WAC            4         1-2  0.333    3           1            2-2       0.500
 
Big Ten        8         3-5  0.375    3           0
 
Conference USA 6         2-4  0.333    0           0   


My own analysis, which weights each game based on conference standings of the opponents, also has MWC and Pac-10 tied at the top.

However, the SEC can still come back and win if they sweep their 3 remaining games.

(The Compass Bowl is a weird matchup: #3 in the Big East vs #10 in the SEC. So in my scoring, the Big East has nothing to gain and everything to lose in this game, and vice versa for the SEC.)

LOL, wouldn’t it be funny if Kentucky, LSU, and Auburn all lose? SEC would be 3-7! (I know it won’t happen, but I don’t think 4-6 is outside the realm of possibility)…

ETA: jsc1953, would you mind posting your rankings? I remember liking how you did them last year about this time.

That would be hysterical. But they could still say they’re better than the Big 10.

Thanks, quixotic. With 4 games remaining:

Conference Score Wins Losses
MWC 14.5 4 1
Pac-10 14.5 2 1
ACC 10 4 4
SEC 7 3 4
Ind 6 2 1
Big 12 5.5 3 4
Big 10 5.5 3 5
Sun Belt 5 2 1
MAC 3.5 2 2
CUSA 2 2 4
WAC 1.5 1 2
Big East 0.5 3 2

Michigan and MSU got blown out. The rest of the Big 10 games were close and exciting competition. They were not manhandled by vastly superior teams. Even the Big 10 wins were close games.
Michigan State had a good schedule to run up victories this year but they are a flawed team. Michigan can not play defense. Not even a little. They were half a team. But they still bring people to games and make money .

I’m just shocked the Big East ended their bowl participation with a record over .500. Terrible year for the conference but at least it wasn’t completely embarrassing. I am confident that the TCU addition will bring some credit to the conference as a whole. I also like that I will be able to drive 2.5-3 hrs to see Rutgers play TCU every few years.

Woot! I can’t place worse than 6th! I can’t win either but I’m still calling this a moral victory.

It looks as group (the 27 of us) are just a little better than a bunch of monkeys randomly making picks.

20 of us have picked at least 17 out of the 34 games correctly, and a random picks would suggest that only 13 or 14 of us would be at 50% or better. So we got that going for us.

I am astonished that I have picked only 18 out 34 winners, heads up. And as bad as I have picked, I am still in the top 33% of SDMB pool entries.

I not sure how many entries there were, but the best anyone has done was 29 out 34 according these standings.

If Auburn wins I’ll pull into 6th. That ain’t too bad either! Otherwise I think 7th is as low as I can go.

I went 18 for 35, scoring 333 confidence points, and finished in 21st place. Ouch. Oh well, it was fun playing, and good to see a 5th Consecutive SEC/BCS Champion.