Omnibus Weather/AGW thread

For either general “The weather is like XYZ right here now” to more specific “This is how global warming is apparently manifesting here at the moment” kinds of observations. [Yes I am well aware of the difference between weather and climate, but when you note what I am about to document below…]

Noting your location may be helpful.

For the past two weeks [NE Florida] we have had insanely unseasonal highs in the mid high 80’s, with nary a cooling cold front to be seen coming anywhere close. [NWS site for US surface weather] I have been following one which is currently two days out now, and noting the post-passage temperature forecasts. A week out they were promising clear skies, with highs in the high 60’s, which would be typical for this time of year. As we approached the upcoming weekend, I kept seeing the forecasted highs drift from there to the low 70’s, to the mid 70’s, and now as of today the upper 70’s.

Now looking ahead to next week I see another which will arrive into the area next Thursday, but with the wobbly alternating cold and warm front giveaways that it is weak and could either fall apart or drift back north. I’ve lived here for 50 years now, and I have NEVER seen a late February/early March which has been this warm (and yes humid). Hell the PGA moved the TPC from early March to May precisely because of all of the NE’ers and strong cold anticyclones we would get, causing patrons to freeze and scores to skyrocket. Now they have moved it back, only to get May-level weather…

Here I was going to chime into that Florida sucks thread that 8 months of the year it is typically rather pleasant and cool. Can’t now. I’ll be moving to Ohio this spring and can’t wait to get away from this lunacy, even tho I know I may only be delaying the inevitable.

Watching out my office window yesterday, it rained, graupeled, hailed, was bright sun without a cloud in the sky, then snowed. All in one Southern California afternoon.

Ohio-welcome to lunacy!
Our weather is a roller coaster. The temperature changes 35 degrees from one day to the next.
I must note this is northeast Ohio.

Central Indiana: yesterday it was sunny and a high of 74.
Today, partly cloudy and a high of 54.

Well, that was a BIG dud!
The weather channel and local weather persons had me scared to death we were having: duh duh duh, The Storm of Century

It passed over me. Lots of noise. Brief period of rain. TV signal and internet went out for about 10 minutes. Lights stayed on.

I know there were some Tornadoes and high wind behind me. But, overall I was underwhelmed.

Arkansas

Well, you guys need to stop setting the river on fire.

Central Switzerland. Two weeks ago I was wearing shorts, outside, and I was comfortable. Now we’re back to hovering around the freezing level, which is normal.

But we are dry. Really dry. Last year was already bad, and a second year like this will be bad. The southern part of Switzerland has been under a forest fire alert for the last weeks. They should be getting rain, and lots of it.

Southern Ontario. There have been two big snowfalls recently, one in late February and the second one just a day ago. I didn’t pay much attention since I wasn’t going anywhere, but the accumulations turned out to be bigger than I imagined. My neighbour was shoveling his driveway this morning and the snowbank between our driveways is now so high that snow was rolling off onto my driveway. I didn’t mind because my driveway gets plowed. The plow guy was just here and spent more time clearing out the driveway than usual, and the snow pile at the street is immense.

I don’t know that any of this is attributable to AGW, but it’s unusual for being so late in the season and such large amounts of snow. And there’s more to come later in the week. Winters have, however, been consistently warmer than normal, and summers often hotter, and that’s definitely AGW. Temperatures are already above freezing and will get much warmer tomorrow, yet more flurries are predicted – there’s so damn much snow that even in warmer temperatures it mostly melts on bare pavements and not where there are large accumulations, where sunlight just reflects right off the bright whiteness.

Yet prior to about late January, there was hardly any snow this whole winter!

We just had the driest February for 30 years.

And if you’re in the East of England (we’re close, but I don’t think we qualify):

But streams and rivers are still flowing fine because the earlier part of the winter had been extremely wet. Just take a look at what happened to the frighteningly low levels of 2 of our local reservoirs over the winter: https://www.southeastwater.co.uk/about/locations/reservoir-levels

j

Out west. Driving through one-lane tunnels of snow to ski like a motherfucker!

but you live in a state with a name that literally means “snow”

Ft. Lauderdale just got a historic soaking:

Plantation here, which is 20ish minutes west of Fort Lauderdale. Man, that was crazy yesterday. Cars were abandoned all over roads in some parts of Fort Lauderdale. Lots of crazy videos of people doing stupid things, like waterskiing behind cars. (Don’t do this - it creates a wake that causes damage to cars and houses.) Our airport has been closed all day - partially due to the roads being completely inaccessible, and partly due to flooding on the tarmac. Schools were closed today and will be closed tomorrow. There were two tornados.

Happily, I’m not hearing much about injury and death. But it’s going to cost some money to clean this up.

Return of Tulare Lake

Blockquote Tulare Lake, in California’s San Joaquin Valley, was once the largest freshwater lake west of the Mississippi River. The lake would grow every winter as rainfall and snowmelt from the nearby Sierra Nevada range flowed down and filled the basin. By 1920, the rivers that fed the lake were dammed and diverted for uses such as irrigation. Since then, the lakebed has been covered with farms that grow a variety of crops.

Heavy rain and snow in the first three months of 2023 has once again brought water to Tulare’s lakebed.

Last year we had a 15 year old oak die of the head. OK, that wasn’t a native tree, so maybe that wasn’t a surprise. The dead mesquite in the lot behind us is, they most definitely are native.

The saguaro are suffering because it stays hot at night. They close their pores when it is hot to avoid losing moisture, then open them in the cool of the night to exchange air and basically breathe. If it stays too hot, they start to suffocate.

They had a super bloom (flowers down the arms) two years ago which was suspected to be a final attempt at passing on their genes because they did not bloom last year and this year isn’t looking good either.

Central Arizona

Welp, looks like we have a scorcher on tap for most of the eastern half of the country this upcoming week. So far for the entire spring we’ve (NE Ohio) have had a new cold front come in like clockwork every 2-5 days; looking ahead tho the next candidate appears to be part of a low south of Juneau Alaska on Friday, which will take 3-4 more days to get here, if it ever does. Heck it will be hotter here than where I moved from (NE Florida) last year.

Same here in southern Ontario. Starting Monday and through the whole week, temperatures will be in the 90s, the first major sustained heat wave of the season. It will be hotter than hell through the entire range of the available forecast. Heat waves like this often end with severe thunderstorms when a cold front moves in. Glad we had a few warm days earlier so I know that my A/C, which is getting on in years, still blows icy-cold air! As an Old Fart I’m more sensitive to heat than young’uns, and it can literally be a health hazard.

Speaking of thunderstorms, just yesterday we had one of the most severe ones in recent memory. Wind was driving rain against the windows so hard I was beginning to worry a window might shatter. At least it washed the bird shit thoroughly off a back window and off the surface of the deck.

All I have are 3 pairs of black pants. Nice color, but not when you have to be out waiting for the bus.

A good idea is to take a water bottle, put it in the freezer, then take it with you.

We are now about to enter Day 3 of the heat wave in southern Ontario, but i believe that much of the northeastern US is in the grip of it. There’s usually no rain until the arrival of a cold front creates a powerful thunderstorm in the aftermath, but this one is unusual. The fierce early-season heat has been punctuated by a couple of strong thunderstorms. I’ve avoided going out but I did open the door early this evening after the storm was over, and the humidity in the wake of the storm combined with the ongoing heat was just stifling. It’s currently nearly midnight and the A/C is running.