[QUOTE=Apos]
Finally someone does at least some of the homework required to give this issue some reality:
So the claim that getting jail time at all is especially harsh looks false: about 60% of people were her set of offenses get the approximately 4 day jail time she got. So much for all the big hair lawyers who claimed that getting any jail at all was outrageous.
80%, however, got out long before her 23-day stint, which does suggest that her punishment was excessive compared at least to the rest of the country.
However, as I noted before, this sort of analysis doesn’t cover whether or not the sentence is excessive from this judge (since some are harsher than others), and it doesn’t consider the other elements the judge might legitimately consider in sentencing: like contempt for th court, showing no signs of caring about her duty to even acknowledge things she signs, showing up late, etc.
It also doesn’t cancel out the issue of favoritism in the sheriff violating an explicit sentencing order.
[/QUOTE]
Well I wasn’t going to come back, but I saw the LA Times article today with the data. I guess Apos beat me to it.
Good point that getting any time at all isn’t that rare. (Guess I’ll have to agree with DtC less). The expert I quoted only said that nobody gets 45 days; he didn’t say nobody does any time.
This does provide good evidence that the “Oh my God she got out after 5 days what an outrage” crowd were being a little overly dramatic, though. 4 days sounds like pretty much the normal amount of time to serve.
And I agree that “serving more time than 80% of other people in similar situations” (exact wording of article) is pretty telling. You can’t really argue with that. By definition, she was treated more strictly than most people in similar situations.
I’m sure people will still argue that she got treated better than most people, but you’d have to use some pretty tortured logic, and/or make unfalsifiable assumptions to hold that position.
Also of interest from the article:
The early-release program started in 2002, so anecdotal stories from before that time do not apply, as people did serve longer sentences before then.
and…
That’s pretty much the same as I had surmised earlier. At least I’m in the company of a reputable newspaper.
Also interesting - the article claims 23 days is comparable to that served by many convicted of assault (4,000), burglary (1,800) and domestic violence (2,600). Normally, you’d think people who commit violent crimes would do more time than non-violent crimes.
So is anyone still seriously contending that she’s getting special treatment? I actually have to change my position: I said I wasn’t asserting that her treatment was harsh. After reading the data, I believe I have to say that it is harsh.