I see you live by my maxim: If you’re going to be a bastard, be a magnificent bastard. 
I’m confused as hell watching CNN’s map. If it’s colored in are they calling it or is it trending?
ETA: Is that chick on CNN on crack. How the fuck do you call Mourdock’s race a bellwether? How many REPUBLICANS are voting against the legitimate rapist. I know I would.
538 has Obama’s chances of winning at 90.9%. He is promising updates throughout the night.
It appears to be that they’re calling that state.
Still no news on NC, right? I hope the RTP area can combat the rural parts of the state…
I find it soothing to keep 538 open in another window, so I can reassure myself that nothing is going against Nate’s predictions (at least, as yet).
Yeah, same on BBC. It gives me the willies to see that even though I know nothing can be read into it.
CNN is reporting 54% Obama 45% Romney with 12% counted so far.
As much as I hope to see that remain, I suspect it’s the opposite of what’s going on in Virginia: the urban areas here (as nearly everywhere) are more Democratic than the rural areas, so what certain counties report doesn’t mean anything. I doubt we’ll go blue this time.
CNN has Florida at 52/48 Obama with 35% in…I think that if Obama takes that one it’s going to be all over for Romney. He’s at 74/24 in New Hampshire, but Ohio is at 61/38 Romney…but less than 1% of the vote is in, so that doesn’t mean much I’d guess.
No, it’s who is currently up. Ohio is red but the results are just coming in. They most definitely have not called Ohio.
It’s a stupid way to report, IMO.
P.S. Someone leaked CNN the final Romney internal poll of Ohio. It had Obama up by five points.
Ohio’s dark gray on my CNN elections page, meaning it’s still processing votecounts.
I voted last Friday in my Dallas suburb - no line when I walked in and took about 5 minutes on an electronic voting machine including triple checking that all my check marks were in the right place. I have been nervous all day 538 and other projections notwithstanding.
Even their internal polling oversamples Democrats. It’s a conspiracy!!
If they’re just counting votes as they come in, it doesn’t mean anything either way, since different precincts can have wildly different leans. 538’s liveblog coverage says they’re going to be correcting for that, but they haven’t posted much yet.
I can’t wait to see Ohio turn blue. Everything past that will just be gravy, as far as I’m concerned. crosses fingers
FWIW, Daily Kos has a list of county benchmarks that Obama needs to beat to win the swing states. This accounts for size and political lean of areas.
Yeah, I agree, I was only replying to the poster wondering about the current status, With 20% in, Obama is still in a tie with 50% vs Romney’s 49%
7pm CST now. Lots more states closing their polling places and counting the votes.
Huffpo has a good way to look at it. As each district comes in, it has a graph showing the percentage this year vs. 2008. Ohio, for example has four districts called now and though three are for Romney, all four are higher percentages for Obama than 2008.
More reporting on review.