Damn. Intrade is at 88.5% now for Obama.
So Jim Cramer was wrong about Obama’s 440 EV prediction.
Can we rule out any of the other crazy predictions yet?
Oh, I agree. But the quickness of the calls gives you some idea about the margins in these states. It’s sort of the opposite of the NC situation - if Romney got a quick NC call then you could reasonably assume he would eventually win VA (which he has to do). The quick MI call bodes well for OH and WI, IMO.
I feel a lot better with PA going to Obama. I am flipping channels including Fox News; I am enjoying watching them slowly realize that the “skewed” polls were right and that it is looking tough for Romney.
From what I can tell, almost all uncounted votes in Florida are in Santa Rosa (presumably Romney), Miami-Dade, and Broward. By my math that gives the Oval Office back to Obama, but I could be missing something.
CNN keeps showing video of voters still in line in Miami. Twitter hashtag #stayinline was trending earlier. I’m not sure if they’ll report while folks are still voting.
LHOD - I’m still seeing Obama with a 15k lead in Florida.(It’s been getting tighter over the last hour)
Ohio is looking solid for Obama at the moment
if I understand it right (and I may not), Broward Country is only about 20% in, though, and is pretty strongly democratic. A neck and neck race with the big counties still out probably favors Obama.
And my cat sleeps easier tonight.
Fair point
I always laugh at opinion articles of republican pundits in the media that tell the readers or viewers that **this **time Pensilvania will go to the Rs.
Intrade is now at 90%. I am guessing exits are leaking out and someone is probably doing the county-by-county analysis in the big swing states.
Badgers go Blue!
Fox just called WI for Obama. A little salt in the wound for Ryan.
Now at 80% of the vote, Obama ahead by around 2000 votes. The thing has been see-sawing back and forth all night. Nate had the state at 50.3% Obama, which is pretty much exactly how it’s turning out. It’s really a coin toss.
Oof. Romney’s at 6% right now. Some serious money to be made there if Romney pulls it out…
Sweet!
Nice! I would not have expected that.
Hot off the blog from Silver:
But once you unskew the vote count, Romney is in the lead by two.