This is just for fun. Let’s try to make this poll a tie–that is, make the options have as even a vote distribution as possible. BUT YOU CAN’T LOOK AT THE RESULTS BEFORE YOU VOTE. I mean I can’t enforce that, but it would make it pointless. So just vote and let’s see how close we get
(This is what I thought of when I saw The Tie Poll)
The prevailing wisdom is that when in doubt answer C is most likely to be correct. So I must choose C. But in this situation the right choice is the wrong choice, so by choosing a wrong choice I will increase my odds of it being the right choice. So I can clearly not choose option C.
Surely no one would pick the first option as that is too obvious, so option A must be my choice. But this being an intelligent board, many would recognize the obvious tendency to avoid the obvious, thereby necessitating their unexpected choice of the obvious. So I can clearly not choose option A.
This brings us to a logical conclusion. B must be my choice. But the mere fact that this conclusion was reached through logic alerts us to the illogicality of choosing it. So I can clearly not choose option B.
However, the illogicality of choosing option B is exactly the type of logic needed to be successful. So clearly I must choose Option B.
Well, I picked one of the ones that is behind. I thinkg too many people are picking #2 specifically because #2 is often least picked in a group of three. I went with #1.
Yep, I guessed that the last one would have fewer votes, and my vote bumped it (the lowest score at this point) up by one.
I did begin to get into the mental spin of “but what if everyone’s picking C because no one usually picks the last answer?”, but I squashed it and went with my gut.
Everyone’s going to second and third guess their picks, but overall there’s no fundamental reason why it wouldn’t approach 33/33/33 after infinite picks.
Well, I’m contrary enough that I didn’t read the OP before responding to the poll. I did, however, check what the results were, and selected the one with the lowest number of votes.
It worked. Assuming people aren’t cheating, it is a pretty interesting experiment result. People are collaborating to meet a goal when they have no knowledge of what the others contributed and there is no reason to choose one over the other except for intuition. I smell a Nobel Prize.