There are numerous news accounts of Trump’s business downturns. Not only are his businesses doing badly, but he is also losing friends and backers, and companies and governments are cancelling contracts. Plus he has those huge loans coming due, and that big tax case.
Is he going to be able to afford to keep golf courses and resorts to live at? And lawyers to keep stalling?
Somewhere upthread someone mentioned Melania’s Slovenian passport. Assuming they were to stay together and she wanted to go back home, could he get into Slovenia as a spouse? Would that give him access to the EU?
He had seventy-four million people who voted for him eleven weeks ago. But how many does he have now?
A lot of his supporters were justifiably appalled by the riot on December 6. And his supporters who carried out the riot feel betrayed by him for his denunciation of them after the fact.
If he flees the country and relocates to Moscow, you have to feel that will shake a few of his supporters loose as well.
These people are pretty dense but at some point some of them of them are going to start saying, “You know, I’m starting to get suspicious about this here Trump fellow. Maybe he’s not one hundred percent truthful.”
Trump can shoot one person in the middle of Fifth Avenue and get away with it. But if he keeps doing it over and over again, eventually a few of his supporters are going to start questioning it. Trump doesn’t know enough to quit when he’s ahead.
Husband: I won the lottery! Pack your bags! Wife: Should I pack for the mountains, or the beach? Husband: I don’t care. Just pack your bags and get out!
No. 538 reports his aggregate approval rating at 38.5%, net rating minus disapproval at -19.4%, which is not basement-level for him, well above W in '08 and slightly higher than Carter at this point in his term. If 50M people would still vote for him in light of what has happened, that would probably be in the high side.
Even 35 mil, if properly fed and groomed, would be determinant for who gets on the ballot under the “R”. Remember: 147 votes in Congress to pander to them even hours after the riot, 190 a week later.
You think he lost a third of his voters for something they mostly approve of? no way, we could have another election today and Trump would pass 70 million again. Biden might crack 90 though.
No, I think a third or more of his voters were not supporters, per se. I voted for Biden not because I like the guy – really, I am fully prepared to be disappointed – but I was not offered a decent, practical alternate for getting rid of the orange menace. I suspect a great deal of the orange menace’s voters did so out of habit (always vote R), out of fundamental political ignorance/indifference or out of pressure (my neighbors will fuck the neighborhood up if he loses). At least 20M people who voted for him did not approve of incident-the-sixth.
In a poll taken after Jan. 6, he had 80% approval among Republicans. Not sure what it is now, but he probably does still have overwhelming support among those who voted for him. It looks like he lost about 2% of Republicans from before the election to after Jan 6.
On the other hand, the Gallup Party Affiliation survey puts Republicans at below 27% and falling (that number is the average of July-January), so “80% approval among Rs” works out to something like maybe 21% overall. Which is still way too many, but certainly not four-fifths of seventy four million.
Late to the party, as per usual, but here to provide the last word on What’s-His-Name’s final destination. As Reconstruction got underway, at least 10,000 former traitors exited the U.S. for Brasil. A search on YouTube for “confederados brazil” will turn up a number of entertaining videos about the descendants. Since you have to be carefully taught to hate and fear, possibly a number of these would welcome a like-minded leader.