Election Day [Week][Month[s]] [Year] 2020 follow-along thread

Worse than that, even. 32 hours by your numbers - 3K per 2 hours = 48K per 32 hours.

That’s very likely what’s going on. One reason I’ve been calling over the last few weeks is because my mail-in, which I dropped off in person, was still showing as not having been received. The supervisors I talked to all assured me they are just swamped by mail-ins and haven’t got around to processing all of them even if I did a drop-off weeks ago.

I don’t know if its all that crazy. Both sides (GOP, Dems) are trying to eat into each other’s pie. An equilibrium would be 50% (duh). If the percentage got too out of whack you’d expect the losing side to change tactics to get back in the game. So, in some ways an even split is what you’d normally expect.

Five minutes? You have the patience of a monk, sir or madam.

I love that thought. There is no winner yet but I hope Trump is shitting his pants watching all of this.

My only worry if Biden wins is how dangerous Trump may become before he is out in two months (assuming Biden wins).

I’m looking forward to the all-caps, totally unhinged tweets from trump if and when PA goes blue.

Yeah, I’ve been swamped with work today. Keep checking every half hour-- still nothing. I am fearful Biden only keeps NV and AZ. That can only bring more crap from the orange turd for another couple months and beyond.

To me, at least, it seems it has increased a lot. Every other post is about fraud…usually starting off with “It’s pretty clear to me that the is substantial cheating with mail-in votes…”, or along that line. ZERO evidence is provided for anything, with maybe a bizarre reference to a fucking tweet some stain like Charlie Kirk is spitting. People are eating it up.

Flames are being fanned hard.

I had really written off GA because, you know, GA. I am trying to clamp down on my growing hope there so I’m not massively disappointed later.

Too late.

~Max

I mentioned this upthread, but Mr. Trump claimed victory last night. Ever since, the focus in right-wing social media has been hard on voter fraud.

~Max

Are there any prominent Republicans who are echoing this?

You haven’t been paying attention. He’s already to the all-caps, totally unhinged tweet point.

538 update:

AMELIA THOMSON-DEVEAUX

NOV. 5, 3:32 PM

A couple of updates on the legal front. First, the Trump campaign prevailed in its lawsuit against the Philadelphia County Board of Elections at the Pennsylvania Supreme Court, as the court found that the Trump campaign’s observer was unable to “actually observe the canvassing processes in any meaningful way.”

In a separate case involving the Pennsylvania deadline for verifying mail-in voters’ identification, a state court also issued an order telling election boards to temporarily segregate mail-in ballots where proof of identification is received between Nov. 10-12, pending further orders from the court. (It’s unclear how many ballots we’re talking about here, and it may not matter unless the margin is extremely close.)

Finally, Republicans withdrew their motion for a temporary restraining order involving ballots that were corrected or “cured” in Montgomery County, Pennsylvania (there’s another lawsuit that addresses ballot curing pending, and the judge in this case seemed pretty skeptical of the claims).

Rudy Giuliani and Eric Trump were:

I believe the Secretary of State said it was up to 500 ballots in some counties.

~Max

See! Fraud!

Yeah. I took the first statement to mean “was asked to leave his firearm outside the building.”

Nevermind

I’m not crazy about how long it’s taking, and I’d like it to be faster for my anxiety’s sake, but I’m sort of glad that most of the votes are coming in in dribs and drabs.

On election night, I think it was on 538 that they had a graph up of the percent counted for some state, and a large batch of votes came in that made a vertical jump in the graph. They commented that they were getting questions about it.

I think similarly, a slow, inexorable crawl up for Biden votes lends itself less to conspiracy theories and narratives in that vein. People slowly see the writing in the wall. If suddenly PA reported all of the rest of its votes, people would be much more suspicious – even if they did so while counting at the same rate. The slow, steady updates are good.

Places that hold their updates and announce bigger changes at a time might have people reacting more strongly and being more open to fictional narratives. (This is just my theory, based primarily on people’s tendency – and I think Trump voters’ in particular – toward motivated reasoning.)