I worry that the race is close enough for Trump to attempt a stunt like declaring victory or ordering feds to interfere with counting
That’s what I did in 2016. Afraid to do it now.
IIRC this looks more hopeful right now than 2016 did about the same time, though.
Wouldn’t put it past him. (@asahi)
I think it’s definitely better than 16 but I don’t know how much
The polls in 2016 wqere not that far off. It’s possible the polls this year could be much weirder than that. In 2016 such misses as the polls had were fairly consistent from state to state - for instance, the rust belt all went more Trumpy than expected by around four points. Tonight though, states are reporting really weird things even compared to each other.
It may simply be that the manner of voting in 2020 and the fact some votes won’t be counted today in some states, but were already counted in others, just makes these results weirder than they will end up being.
Obviously Ohio is much more strongly correlated with PA/MI/WI than say Florida. According to the Economist 85-87. Biden needs around an extra point in these states compared to 2016. If he does 4-5 points better than Hillary in Ohio he should be OK.
The Economist also says that the state with the highest corrleation with Arizona, by far, is Nevada.
I think Trump is going to win. Wow, I think he’s actually going to win. Unreal. I’ve been wrong many times in my life. I can only hope this is one of them.
Jamie Harrison apparently failed to knock off Lindsey Graham 
I’m wondering if it may be that people are ashamed to admit that they would vote for someone like Trump. shrug
Trump is way too close in way too many states. This is a bad sign.
Looks like NC will come down to the wire, and Cal Cunningham is about 2 percentage points behind Biden. If him getting his jollies off ends up costing Ds the Senate. . .
Not Wolf Blitzer. But the other guy, blue suit and blue tie. I forget his name…?
I don’t know why, but this clip (from Semi-Tough) just leaps to mind right now.
Be Burt Reynolds, not Robert Preston.
Trump is now currently ahead in OH.
“Mean people” or “Hateful people”.
Traditional Republicans have fundamentalist Christians and gun owners. Wealthy people who don’t want to pay taxes. Red necks. Bullies who enjoy seeing people hurt. Gun owners who are afraid that a Democratic President would outlaw their gun ownership, despite the fact that requires Congress passing laws. Ignorant people.
It is damned depressing that so many Americans belong to the above groups.
This’ll come down to the battle of the laywers.
Biden is ahead in Arizona, but mail-ins are counted first.
Trump ahead in PA at 22:04 and tied in NC
It’s the people who hate Trump vs. the people who hate the people who hate Trump. In a hate contest the most despicable candidate has an advantage.
John King.