Dunno know if you are aware but apparently they overcounted the total in Arizona, 86% not 98% have been counted.
Sometimes the problem with making a sales is the salesman, sometimes it’s the product. I think in the case of the Democratic Party making inroads into converting Republican Party members, it’s a bit of both. Trump’s actually got a higher percentage of the popular vote in 2020 than in 2016. So the Democrats did a good job of picking up new voters, but didn’t convert a lot of Republicans. A lot of that is down to Biden lacking charisma and being a Grandpa character. But a lot is also based on beliefs that Democrats want to pursue their special interests at the expense of the majority of Americans. I don’t think that’s true of Democratic Party politics in general. But it’s true of enough of it that Republicans aren’t buying their product.
All the votes haven’t been counted yet. Biden is already leading the national vote by 1.8%.
Considering the product they are buying, that doesn’t say much about the taste or judgement of Republican “consumers”.
You actually believe that Elizabeth Warren and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez are “a bit left of centre”?
- That’s like saying that Trump’s just a bit right of centre.
- It completely disputes Whack-a-Mole’s idea that the US has moved to the right.
I don’t know if anyone has made this point but even if Joe Biden wins, Republicans control the Senate and Democrats control the House, so we’re going to have at least two more years of legislative gridlock. There are far too many issues that require leadership and legislation so I’m kind of sad right now.
I know they are. Democratic socialism is just left of centre on the political spectrum. That’s a fact. Their positions would be considered center-left positions in almost any other country in the world. So some small bit of the Democratic party has moved slightly left of their normal position by a step, while the Republican party has sprinted to the right.
Chances of gaining the Senate in 2022?
In other news, Biden’s lead looks safe in Wisconsin and Michigan, but he still looks vulnerable in Nevada. It ain’t over yet.
Yeah, a Trump win would have been bad for the country and yet a Biden win still represents a dire state. The next 2 (at least) years will be:
- Endless senate investigations into this election, Burisma, and whatever else they can cook up
- McConnell declaring Biden an illegitimate president and refusing to approve any judicial appointments and all but the most basic of cabinet positions
- Constant government shutdowns
It’s going to be grim.
(The only good result would have been a complete Democratic clobbering)
Well, the polls say . . .
Kind of sad? I’m on emotional suicide watch. All the states that polled as toss-ups are so far going to Trump, so he’ll be close enough to have SCOTUS steal the election for him. And even if Biden wins he won’t be able to get anything done with Moscow Mitch still running the Senate. Pack the court? Ha! He won’t even get a vote on a nominee if a vacancy opens.
It won’t be total deadlock; it’ll be a continuation of the past 6 years: governing by Executive Order. Biden could undo all the bad EO’s of Trump and reinstate the good EO’s of Obama.
He can conduct a rational foreign policy, giving aid to our allies and standing up to our adversaries, instead of the other way around.
He may not get many judicial appointments past McConnell, but at least it’ll stop the bleeding for 2 years.
Near as I can tell there will be 22 republicans and 12 democrats up for re-election in 2022 so that gives some advantage to democrats (fewer seats to defend, more to pick-off).
That said the real analysis is a lot more complex and may change between now and then. I wouldn’t expect any big swing but dems just need a few so…possible but I wouldn’t stake anything on it.
As recently as Monday, states like Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania all had majorities who were voting for Biden. So either hundreds of thousands of people magically changed their minds overnight about how they were going to vote - and all decided to switch from Biden to Trump. Or the results that are being reported do not reflect how people actually voted. And I don’t believe in magic.
So the Republicans decided to steal the election for Trump. They’re not going to stop halfway through. They wouldn’t have come this far unless they were ready to make sure they will win any court challenges.
And afterwards? The Republicans will be in a position to make sure there’s never any investigation into what happened yesterday.
Republicans won. Americans lost.
If Al Franken was a Republican he’d still be a Senator.
Any Canadians looking for an old fat ugly untalented American wife?
I’m as disappointed as most on the current state of the election but if people are going to insinuate that there is election fraud they need to have some evidence. We’ve been castigating Trump for four years for claiming fraud without any evidence. Don’t be like Trump.
Trump won 46.1% of the popular vote in 2016. AP says he currently has 48.3% of the 2020 popular vote. He’s not going to win the popular vote, Biden’s at 50.1%. (Clinton 2016 was 48.2%. Huh, Trump 2020 is ahead of Clinton 2016.) But Trump has a higher vote share than in 2016, which suggests he hasn’t lost many Republicans. It will be interesting to look at the total House of Representatives party votes to see how those compare to the Presidential vote as another metric on where the US stands politically.