Cite:
Great news, as is this, orginally posted in Clusterfuck, thanks MN Maenad
I don’t even know what is the significance of what Silver posted. ???
Indication seems to be that the GOP voted came in early this morning but the Dems have led since and FL is voting bluer as the day lengthens.
I hope so. I keep saying this everywhere, but America has been through a lot these last four years.
We could use a break with FL going blue early. It would be amazing.
I hope that is good news. Fareed Zakaria, I think, seemed to think the amount of Trump voters declined there over the last four years and the amount of “blue” voters likely increased.
I guess we’ll see.
I’ll just note that back in 2016 around 7:30 pm EST, we were all celebrating the gradual blue-ing of Florida as results came in. Florida will kill you every time, don’t even pretend to get your hopes up until ALL votes are in.
Would be hilariously glorious if Biden loses Florida but wins Texas. Win Texas and there’s 270 right there.
True. Florida is a nice to have, not a must have.
I haven’t read this whole thread, so apologies if this was covered already. I keep seeing various counts of first time voters (10%, 8%, etc for different states.) What’s a typical number of first-time voters in a presidential election? I tried googling for this, but didn’t get anything useful.
Anecdotally, the two voters in line ahead of me were first time voters. I don’t know if they were in the wrong polling place, fucked up their registrations, or what, but they were both having issues with their names not being findeable by those who hand out the ballots.
Or if Trump loses PA because his campaign forgot to take care of details, like Hillary not campaigning there.
Splitting up because people refused to get along didn’t help India and Pakistan. I doubt if it would work here.
Elliott County, in the coal fields of eastern Kentucky, was notable for voting Democratic in every presidential election from 1872 to 2012. But illustrating how white, working-class areas like Appalachia have moved away from the party, Trump carried Elliott by 44 points in 2016. Now, with 47 percent of the expected vote reporting, Trump is leading by 33 points in Elliott, according to The New York Times.
11% drop for Trump, if this holds true
This isn’t the thread to debate this, but…
And if you read that 2016 thread, you’ll see a few people making this exact same comment when early results were looking good in Texas.
On second thought, don’t read that thread. It’s like a slow-motion train wreck where you know what’s coming but everyone else is blissfully unaware, and they keep discounting the warning signs. Guaranteed PTSD.
This looks like a pretty good place to watch the returns. They use AP information.
Hmmm… maybe this was already posted. Not sure which thread. Not sure of anything. Time to open the wine.
Did you mean to reply to Dinsdale? I was merely pointing out that the splits he made ignored 10 states.