Mafia Reunion Day 5

@Raventhief, I forgot to mention the part where I thought it made sense because of the lack of Mafia deaths. Mafia hidden as cultists would mean I’ve been advocating we give scum a temporary pass.

Ok, I’m a bit distracting trying to get the hell outta the office, but can someone use small words and tell me why/how the cultists will resolve themselves? I’ll read it when i get home and have a proper tasty beverage in me gulliver.

When there are too few members of a scum team remaining, the cultists can’t be lying scum. If there are 5 of them and only 4 mafia left, they can’t be mafia.

Right now there are only 4 wolves left, so we know the cultists aren’t wolves in cultist wool.

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Rather, if the rest of the cultists claimed and we’re conformed by each other then they can’t be wolves…

And if that happened we would only need 1 more dead mafia to rule that out also.

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NETA I’m not advocating that they all claim, at least not until 1 more mafia bites it… then it might be beneficial for town, but necessarily the cult… what with having a survivor type wincon.

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NETA I meant not necessarily

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If there are in fact five.

Meh. I had the same feeling. I thought Diggit was scummier than boozy, and was wrong on that. It happens. When scumdar isn’t working it certainly can be frustrating, but even the best scumfinders are typically wrong more often than they’re right. They just tend to be right a bit more often than the median.

I was referring to this:

And then you post “I agree.”

So you agree that Sunny Daze is better than Pepperwinkle. Hence, my “burn” comment.

Prof. Pepperwinkle, giving advice to newbie Scum **Sunny Daze **, Day 1, Post 92

Professor Pepperwinkle, If you are Town, I don’t understand how you could give this advice, and not actively try it yourself. It’s not that hard. It’s how to play the game, and this post shows that you understand it is how to play the game. If you are Town I am not really interested in more denials. Instead, how about taking your own advice and trying to help. It might not benefit you, but it could help Town. If you “suck” at making accusations, try anyway. If you think most information comes from vote analysis, then analyze some votes.

You have shown little interest in helping Town. Angel’s endorsement is not enough at this point, I’m afraid.

Vote Professor Pepperwinkle

No there are only 2 claimed

so those 2 could still be Wolf or Mafia playing a gambit w/o their teammates

re:** bold** are you claiming?
4 claimed cultists would rule out wolves at this point.
Town needs one more dead Mafia for that to work.( even with all 5 claimed)

True.

Then again. If I were scum trying to make up a false group of “survivors” who can find each other I probably wouldn’t have picked a number that sits around 70% of the actual number of people in my group.

Because if the group has to claim for some reason, I’ve now exposed a large part of my team if they’re all still alive. And if more are dead then what I’ve claimed, I’m exposed as soon as I can’t get enough people to claim with me.

Seriously, if I were going to pull something like that, I’d claim there are no more than three, and that’s still pushing the numbers.

Still, don’t think it’d be worth it. It’d be a risky gambit. If we all claim, we’ll probably be dead at some point, and as soon as the death reveals we’re lying, we’re all sunk.

So I really can’t see the cult being scum in disguise. It’s way too risky. I won’t say “scum wouldn’t do that,” but I will say “scum would be crazy to try it.”

No… my phone auto corrected were to we’re.

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Still, that post by Sunny really reads like a breadcrumb… but I agree it would be downright crazy.

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Auto correct creates contractions?

I don’t smart phone so it is a legit question.
However what about the rest of the post?

Ok, I see what you’re saying. But I’ve been operating under the assumption that there are in fact cultists…whether they are harmless or not is a different question that wont be resolved by killing x more scums.

I agree with ** Hoopy **

but…you have a point too

My damn phone will fuck up so much shit in the weirdest of ways.

3 dead scum is an amazing Night. The multiple Night and Day kills makes me think that there may be 2 serial Killers, one with a Day kill, the other with a Night kill. This makes some sense, mirroring the 2 scum teams. Although it also means that there have been a lot of missed kills.

I will start the Day with
Vote Prof. Pepperwinkle

I thought that BillMC could be a cultist, from this Day 1 post:

This suggestion of the patsy making a 5 person masonry doesn’t make sense. To me it looked like a crumb, a description of the 5 person cult. Although BillMC’s subsequent posts also made him look less and less like a cultist.

But BillMC turned out to be a wolf, and Sunny Daze mafia. It’s fair to say that they were not cooperating in a scum ploy.

I’ll add that, despite these accidental crumbs, I still find sachertorte’s crumbs convincing.

Now I’m confused… We’re still playing under the assumption of seven of each scum faction, right? jsgoddess, Thing Fish, Booze, BillMC, four wolves. There should be three wolves and five mafia left.

Or have I missed something?

And I agree with hoopy, scum would be crazy to try something like that…