I think John is going to be the one to go - provided he doesn’t obtain immunity.
Here is my thinking.
There are basically three groups:
The Old-Rotu/New-Maraamu (Neleh, Paschal, and Kathy)
The Old-Maraamu/New-Rotu (Rob, Sean, and Vecepia)
The All-Rotu (John, Robert, Zoe, and Tammy)
I don’t think Paschal or Neleh were real happy about Gabe getting the boot. Once they find out that the original Rotus had pushed this, they will probably figure out that John was behind it.
Neither group of three should see much of an advantage in forming an alliance with John and the All-Rotu group. If they did form an alliance, all that would happen is the other group of three would be voted off, then they themselves would be forced off by the power of the four All-Rotus.
Strategically, the best thing either group of three can do is to join with the other group of three and pick off the four All-Rotus. Then it would be three on three, and each side has a legit shot to be in the winners group.
In other words – if Neleh/Paschal/Kathy or Rob/Sean/Vecepia join with John and his group of four, then they are pretty much guaranteed the 7th, 6th, and 5th place finish. If the groups of three join with each other, they pretty much assure themselves of a worst case 6th, 5th, and 4th place finish and a best case shot at actually winning.
I think that Paschal or Kathy will take this line of thinking and convince the groups of three to join – and vote off John. Depending on what the tie-breaker is, I think we have a real chance at this thing coming down to Rob and Sean.
Sorry if this post doesn’t make sense, my mind is still cluttered with rage after the beautiful Gina was shown the door.