22nd Annual Super Bowl Early Picks Thread

The playoff teams are set, so it’s time for our annual contest – can you predict the Super Bowl a month before the game and join our list of champions?:

Year 1 : Trillionaire
Year 2 : Uncommon Sense
Year 3 : Airman Doors, USAF
Year 4 : Grits and Hard Toast
Year 5 : Hal Briston
Year 6 : dalej42
Year 7 : Justin_Bailey
Year 8: Hamlet
Year 9: Hal Briston
Year 10 : AlsoNamedBort
Year 11 : Jahiegel
Year 12 : borschevsky
Year 13: Oakminster
Year 14 : borschevsky
Year 15 : phungi
Year 16 : ElvisL1ves
Year 17 : muldoonthief
Year 18 : Telemark
Year 19 : LoneRhino
Year 20 : Railer13
Year 21 : Intergalactic_Gladiator

It’s simple to play – just post your pick for the two Super Bowl teams, and the final score. Deadline for submissions will be 4:30 pm Eastern on Saturday, January 11th (just before kickoff of the first playoff game).

My Prediction:

Bills 27, Buccaneers 24

PLEASE NOTE: It’s not an absolute requirement, but it’s very helpful to me if you format your pick the same way I did above – “Winning team name and score, losing team name and score”, on its own line. No locations, just the name. Feel free to add any other commentary on a separate line. Thanks!

As always, just in case you don’t follow football but still wanna play along, just pick an AFC team, an NFC team, and a couple of numbers that sound vaguely football-scorish.

AFC Teams:

Chiefs, Bills, Ravens, Texans, Chargers, Steelers, Broncos

NFC Teams:

Lions, Eagles, Buccaneers, Rams, Vikings, Commanders, Packers

The tiebreakers:

  1. Picked both teams, got winner correct
  2. Picked both teams, got winner wrong
  3. Picked winner correctly
  4. Picked loser correctly
  5. Closest to individual scores
  6. Closest to predicted margin of victory

Bills 35, Lions 31

Thanks for doing this again.

Chargers 34, Lions 28

Ravens 27, Lions 24

Lions 41, Bills 31

Lions 31 - Bills 27

Detroit 23, Baltimore 20.

Lions 27, Bills 25

I actually used math for those scores!!!

First pick the Bills and Lions because I want to see them in the game. (And I think they’re good.)

The Bills scored 525 points and allowed 368 this year. The Lions scored 564 points and allowed 342.

Then to get the Bills score I took their points for and added the Lions’ points allowed, divided that sum by 2 to average it out, then divided by 17 (for the number of games) and rounded down to get 25. I did the same for the Lions and got 27.

Is it scientific? Logical? Good statistics? Probably no to all of that! But normally I make a blind guess so this is maybe better?

We’ll see!

Eagles 28, Bills 21

I’ve decided the potential negative karma of not picking the Birds and then having them win isn’t worth the increased odds of winning with a “safer” pick.

Ravens 34, Vikings 20.

Lions 27, Ravens 17

Chiefs 27
Lions 24

Rams 30, Chiefs 24

Lions 35, Chiefs 20

I so want it to be Buffalo, but the Chefs are just magic, but I think the Lions D wins the whole thing.

Lions 28
Chiefs 17

Ravens 31 Vikings 13

KC 31 Detroit 23

Eagles 28, Bills 27.

Bills 38, Lions 35

No actual analysis occurred when I just made up these numbers. I’m assuming that Bills’ defense is irradiated and develops superpowers regular powers in the meantime, as well. Could happen!

Lions 24, Bills 17